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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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that's number two, can't trust the gallup poll. number three what really counts is to look at the electoral vote. that's how we elect the president. it's made up of one two three four, 50 states and their eelectoral votes. particularly important this year are the swing states. cbs news last night reports on the gallup poll. they shouldn't have, 52-45 and then they look at the electoral vote. what does it show? right now were the election held today, president obama would have 255. well, i mean coming into the election. president obama, 255 electoral votes locked in out of 270 is what he needs and mitt romney as 206. now it's not impossible that romney wins. i to have keep saying that, but that's a chunk of advantage for barack obama 255. he is within striking distance of 270. he needs like one more freaking state. mitt romney needs to run the table, right? >> yeah, i don't understand how it's gotten to this. the media can talk about how flawed it is to election the pot by 10 states but that's what it comes down to. these national n
that's number two, can't trust the gallup poll. number three what really counts is to look at the electoral vote. that's how we elect the president. it's made up of one two three four, 50 states and their eelectoral votes. particularly important this year are the swing states. cbs news last night reports on the gallup poll. they shouldn't have, 52-45 and then they look at the electoral vote. what does it show? right now were the election held today, president obama would have 255. well, i mean...
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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FBC
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the gallup poll shows governor romney with a big lead over the president. is gallup on the mark? gallup editor in chief with the answers. is he something more than a fundraiser, something more than an international businessman? is he truly an agent of influence for the chinese government? on the company phone list that. you see us bank on busier highways. on once empty fields. everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and communities can expand, grow stronger and geba to work. everyday you see all of us serving you, around the country, around the corner. us bank. music is a univers language. but when i was in an accident... i was worried the health care system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. lou: it appears p
the gallup poll shows governor romney with a big lead over the president. is gallup on the mark? gallup editor in chief with the answers. is he something more than a fundraiser, something more than an international businessman? is he truly an agent of influence for the chinese government? on the company phone list that. you see us bank on busier highways. on once empty fields. everyday you see all the ways all of us at us bank are helping grow our economy. lending more so companies and...
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Oct 21, 2012
10/12
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WBFF
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joining us now from new york is frank newport, gallup's editor-in-chief. how do you explain the fact that your poll is so out of line with 7 other national polls, which show obama with a small lead, or romney with a lead of just one point? >> well, there are many different explanations for that. we spend most of our time, chris, looking at our own poll and methodology, how we're doing it. a 7 day rolling average and the one you quoted is through last friday, a large sample size, 3700 registered voters and 2700 likely voters in the sample and we don't spend a lot of time looking at how other polls might have been done and a week ago we would have said the race was dead even ourselves in the "gallup poll" but night by night with the large sample we aggregate we have seen romney move out to that 51/45, 7-day average we talk about and that is what we are showing among likely voters, nationally and registered voters, closer to being even. >> chris: you also had a poll of 12 battleground states and let's look at at: it shows romney leading by four points in the
joining us now from new york is frank newport, gallup's editor-in-chief. how do you explain the fact that your poll is so out of line with 7 other national polls, which show obama with a small lead, or romney with a lead of just one point? >> well, there are many different explanations for that. we spend most of our time, chris, looking at our own poll and methodology, how we're doing it. a 7 day rolling average and the one you quoted is through last friday, a large sample size, 3700...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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gallup is still surveying regular voters. they make the switch in october, but when they do my guess is romney is not ahead nationwide. it's going to come down to swing sats. >> michael, what's your take? nominally ahead? that's jonathan's prediction. >> nationally it wouldn't surprise me, but that's not kept pace or the swing states have not kept pace from romney's perspective with what's going on in the national surveys. hopefully tomorrow we know about the buckeye state and where it stands. without ohio it's a very difficult path for governor romney. >> breaking it down to the battlegrounds. thank you so much. it's a pleasure. thank you. here we go again, the vice presidential debate is a couple of days away. are both sides trying the same tactic? you know the tune, down-play expectations. >> i think it's silly of us to somehow discount joe biden because he's made a few gaffes as of late. >> we're going to look at the weapons both vice president joe biden and congressman ryan bring to the table. peter baker from "the new y
gallup is still surveying regular voters. they make the switch in october, but when they do my guess is romney is not ahead nationwide. it's going to come down to swing sats. >> michael, what's your take? nominally ahead? that's jonathan's prediction. >> nationally it wouldn't surprise me, but that's not kept pace or the swing states have not kept pace from romney's perspective with what's going on in the national surveys. hopefully tomorrow we know about the buckeye state and where...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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COM
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then i check the gallup tracking poll. of course, there's just one small problem with all this data coming in. it has a tendency to contradict itself. just yesterday, obama was simultaneously up by four, down by two, and tied with mitt romney. ( laughter ) yeah, philosophy majors in the ( bleep ). ( applause ) now you know how unemployed philosophy majors are. ( laughter ) what do you want to do today? i don't know, let's go to see a show or something. what's the deal? doesn't matter. why are we even here? i don't know. ( laughter ) the problem with the polls is that they are terrible, unreliable. and invaluable. >> the polling this year is the worst it's ever been. there's also rasmussen poll that has romney three hey, 47-44. >> a lot of these polls where you see the president with, like, a five- or six-point lead, you go into the internals and you see they've been over-sampling democrats by, like, nine, or even, 10 or even 13 points. >> actually, greg, there was a brand new national bloomberg poll released today showing
then i check the gallup tracking poll. of course, there's just one small problem with all this data coming in. it has a tendency to contradict itself. just yesterday, obama was simultaneously up by four, down by two, and tied with mitt romney. ( laughter ) yeah, philosophy majors in the ( bleep ). ( applause ) now you know how unemployed philosophy majors are. ( laughter ) what do you want to do today? i don't know, let's go to see a show or something. what's the deal? doesn't matter. why are...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CNNW
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what do you think about this new gallup poll? is this new gallup poll, is that the number one issue for women? >>> up next, raw politics, tough talk from president obama on the upcoming showdown over taxes and the budget, the so-called fiscal cliff and the president has threatened to give the republicans a shove. will that drag the economy down as well? details ahead. >>> real politics now. a whole bunch of deadlines, the bush tax cuts expire, and spending cuts kick in. people refer to it as the fiscal cliff and the country will go over it if washington can't make a deal. they are willing to play some cliff-side hardball. the president will veto a bill that doesn't contain high tax hikes. house speaker john boehner is calling it the thelma and louise strategy. a scene from the movie. the two went over the cliff. they end up in a freeze frame hanging in mid-air. the credits rolled. the real economy might not do that. let's talk about the possibilities. dana bash, and ali velshi and gloria borger. you say when it comes to the fisca
what do you think about this new gallup poll? is this new gallup poll, is that the number one issue for women? >>> up next, raw politics, tough talk from president obama on the upcoming showdown over taxes and the budget, the so-called fiscal cliff and the president has threatened to give the republicans a shove. will that drag the economy down as well? details ahead. >>> real politics now. a whole bunch of deadlines, the bush tax cuts expire, and spending cuts kick in. people...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CNN
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it surprised a lot of people, the new gallup poll out. both campaigns are keenly aware of the importance of the women's vote this time around. we'll talk about it. keeping them honest, ahead. [ male announcer ] when this hotel added aflac to provide a better benefits package... oahhh! [ male announcer ] it made a big splash with the employees. [ duck yelling ] [ male announcer ] find out more at... [ duck ] aflac! [ male announcer ] ...forbusiness.com. ♪ ha ha! since ameriprise financial was founded back in 1894, they've been committed to putting clients first. helping generations through tough times. good times. never taking a bailout. there when you need them. helping millions of americans over the centuries. the strength of a global financial leader. the heart of a one-to-one relationship. together for your future. ♪ >>> keeping them honest tonight. on what a new gallup poll says is the most important issue to perhaps the most important voting group in the most important states on the electoral map, women in swing states and aborti
it surprised a lot of people, the new gallup poll out. both campaigns are keenly aware of the importance of the women's vote this time around. we'll talk about it. keeping them honest, ahead. [ male announcer ] when this hotel added aflac to provide a better benefits package... oahhh! [ male announcer ] it made a big splash with the employees. [ duck yelling ] [ male announcer ] find out more at... [ duck ] aflac! [ male announcer ] ...forbusiness.com. ♪ ha ha! since ameriprise financial was...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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i want to point out it was gallup that chose the people in the audience. >> eric: gallup but also point out the way the moderators have chosen. a bunch of people put to commission, republican and democratic representing the commission. will it down to set of moderators. are there any -- are there any of these you want to cross off. kind of like jury selection. they come down to these. i agree with you, let's see people who aren't on media. >> bob: we tried that. it represented my presidential campaign with mondale. the two of us sitting in the room with the commission. we had to check off people. it asked is it possible to put other people on the list? for example, academics or people who are skilled in history. they both said no. >> eric: here's why. it's still a tv show, right? it's still a tv production. you have want 67 million people tuning in. people who aren't tv savvy may not tune in. >> andrea: bob said that president obama is going to do well outside of libya. this is a debate on foreign policy. outside of libya, you have egypt run by the muslim brotherhood. you have an assad
i want to point out it was gallup that chose the people in the audience. >> eric: gallup but also point out the way the moderators have chosen. a bunch of people put to commission, republican and democratic representing the commission. will it down to set of moderators. are there any -- are there any of these you want to cross off. kind of like jury selection. they come down to these. i agree with you, let's see people who aren't on media. >> bob: we tried that. it represented my...
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Oct 21, 2012
10/12
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>> we don't make predictions at gallup. i told you a week ago, we had it even. now we have romney up but that movement suggested it could move the other way over the next week or two. as of today, romney and the national level has an edge. all the swing state polls and individual states are hard to make sense of but they look close. right now i would say we have two weeks to go and a big debate. >> looking over the long history of gallup polling a6-point lead, 16 days before an election, how solid is that? >> well, not solid at all in the sense things can change. it changed were a week ago and we might talk to you next sunday and see where we stand. it could be different. things move, that's why they're still spending hundreds of millions of dollars to move voter. the campaign hasn't stopped. >> we thank you, thank you for talking with us today. we'll follow your poll and the others all the way to election day. >>> my pleasure. >>> next, the controversy over the benghazi attack keeps growing. we ask our sunday group how it will shape tomorrow's foreign policy de
>> we don't make predictions at gallup. i told you a week ago, we had it even. now we have romney up but that movement suggested it could move the other way over the next week or two. as of today, romney and the national level has an edge. all the swing state polls and individual states are hard to make sense of but they look close. right now i would say we have two weeks to go and a big debate. >> looking over the long history of gallup polling a6-point lead, 16 days before an...
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Oct 14, 2012
10/12
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gallup is doing a tracking poll, it's a trend. if you look at gallup and pugh, they found conflicting results by a difference of six percentage points. you can't trust any single poll. you have to go to the average. >> are we doing no more now that we have more polling? is it the case we have a more accurate sense because of a larger body of data, we can average it out, sitting here 25 days before the election, 24 days before the election, 2012, am i in a better place and measuring more accurately than 20 years ago? >> we had good elections in 2004 and 2008. 2010 was good for the most part. one scary thing i have seen is pollsters are less independent from one another. here is their average, that must be right, we don't want to be outside the consensus. some polls are out of consensus, converged towards others. >> it's terrible. >> it's terrifying. we don't want to have an effect on the experiment we are trying to observe. on one hand, look, there are some bad polls out there. i don't want to be too much of a critic about an indiv
gallup is doing a tracking poll, it's a trend. if you look at gallup and pugh, they found conflicting results by a difference of six percentage points. you can't trust any single poll. you have to go to the average. >> are we doing no more now that we have more polling? is it the case we have a more accurate sense because of a larger body of data, we can average it out, sitting here 25 days before the election, 24 days before the election, 2012, am i in a better place and measuring more...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have adopted and you've heard me talk to this before, james carvel rule. he told me his standard was if you're the incumbent you've been in people's living roomsrs. they know who you are. you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans wi
gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have adopted and you've heard me talk to this before, james carvel rule. he told me his standard was if you're the incumbent you've been in people's living rooms four years. they know who you are. you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think repub
gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have...
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWS
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the gallup organization as polled presidential races since 1936. the latest survey is attracting a lot of attention. the poll shows romney leading obama 51% to 45%. in comparison, real clear politics average shows a dead heat with obama leading by one tenth of a point. joining us, frank newport. how do you explain the fact your poll is so out of line with seven others national polls which show obama with a small lead or romney with a lead of just one point? >> well, there are many different explanation. we spend most of our time looking at our own method doling, how we do it. it's a seven day rolling average of the one you quoted. a large sample size. 3500 registered voters, 2700 likely voters in the sample. we don't spend time looking at the methodology of other polls. if we had been here a week ago we would have said the race was dead even ourselves but night by night with our large samples we've even romney move out to the 51-45 seven day average. that's what we're showing among likely voters nationally. registered voters is closer to even. >> y
the gallup organization as polled presidential races since 1936. the latest survey is attracting a lot of attention. the poll shows romney leading obama 51% to 45%. in comparison, real clear politics average shows a dead heat with obama leading by one tenth of a point. joining us, frank newport. how do you explain the fact your poll is so out of line with seven others national polls which show obama with a small lead or romney with a lead of just one point? >> well, there are many...
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Oct 22, 2012
10/12
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will>> bert than gallup? >> i think so. >> tina i was going to ask you who do you call a survey of baby frogs? >> rib bets? >> tadpole. >> can we edit that out? >> get more polls in a barber college. i don't know about how america feels about it but polls are interesting until you talk about them. they are interesting to rook at numbers wise but once you discuss the numbers it's like listening to teenaged girls talk about justin bieber. >> those are equally interesting. >> tad poll was a good joke. >> did you see me giggle. >> it blamed goes on romney's side where they were before and the first debate and where they are now. obama had 51-44 over mccain at this point in the election in 2008. mitt romney in the gallup poll 51-45 almost the exact in 2012 on the same day leading up to the election. i am not saying that's a prediction i am saying that's a fact. >> also the polls are different. national obama says obama does better but in the swing state romney has done better. >> that is why the question of their
will>> bert than gallup? >> i think so. >> tina i was going to ask you who do you call a survey of baby frogs? >> rib bets? >> tadpole. >> can we edit that out? >> get more polls in a barber college. i don't know about how america feels about it but polls are interesting until you talk about them. they are interesting to rook at numbers wise but once you discuss the numbers it's like listening to teenaged girls talk about justin bieber. >> those...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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romney is 52-45 over obama in the rolling gallup daily tracking. so i think obama, you need to keep talking about these binders. you need to keep talking about big bird. you need to keep talking about these insulting infantile irrelevant things. >> what president obama has been trying do from the spring on is not to offer the country a vision forward, it is not to say here's how we get out of debt, here's how we grow the economy, but just don't like mitt romney. he's basically trying do disqualify his opponent with his sea of negativity. he's trying to distract this country. he's trying to divide this country, pitsing people against each other. he is trying to win this election by default. >> i don't want you to go tell any undecided voter that we think things are hunky dory. we don't. i want you to tell the undecided voter it's a long, slow climb to build a new prosperity for the 21st century after this crash, but we're at least climbing, not trying to drive us back in the other direction. >> obama kept talking about what he's going to do. i kept
romney is 52-45 over obama in the rolling gallup daily tracking. so i think obama, you need to keep talking about these binders. you need to keep talking about big bird. you need to keep talking about these insulting infantile irrelevant things. >> what president obama has been trying do from the spring on is not to offer the country a vision forward, it is not to say here's how we get out of debt, here's how we grow the economy, but just don't like mitt romney. he's basically trying do...
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Oct 19, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the gallup poll is definitely an outlier. there is a lively conversation about the problems of the gallup poll. most of the national polls have it tied with obama or romney up one. in most of the national polls that i've seen, including a ppp poll that came out today had women at about 51%. gender gap is not the margin of women voting for obama. it is difference in men and women and there still is a gender gap. sometimes it is a little smaller, sometimes a little bigger but women are always more democrat leaning than men are. that will be true in this vote as well. >> eliot: steve, let me turn to you. the disappearance of what had been an 18% marge and i think ann is correct. we have to be careful on how we define it. it has shrunk dramatically. what do we know about the women who have shifted? if it was an 18-point margin, you still have a 6 or 7 point shift. do we know who they are educationally, geographically, income level and how you address their concerns? >> i think as i pointed out in the -- essentially the voters who
the gallup poll is definitely an outlier. there is a lively conversation about the problems of the gallup poll. most of the national polls have it tied with obama or romney up one. in most of the national polls that i've seen, including a ppp poll that came out today had women at about 51%. gender gap is not the margin of women voting for obama. it is difference in men and women and there still is a gender gap. sometimes it is a little smaller, sometimes a little bigger but women are always...
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talking about that gallup poll and why it's different from the pew poll, the gallup poll tracked the race over seven days heading in to the debate. barack obama was winning. we know that. heading out of the debate mitt romney closed the gap and pulled away somewhat. and then just yesterday gallup released single day tracking showing obama pulling away. that's a nice data point on monday for an obama campaign looking for good news coming out of the debate. the bottom line here, again, both campaigns believe the race has tightened since the debate, their internal polls show that and we're anxiously looking ahead to swing state polls, especially one in ohio that cnn is putting out later today. >> i know we're tracking that. let's talk about "sesame street". a lot of people thought big bird would be gone. no way. big bird is back with a convenient against. >> reporter: democrats have pushed this big bird message since the debate. mitt romney said part of his deficit reduction plan was to cut funding to pbs. the obama campaign has a new tv ad mocking romney this morning featuring big bird
talking about that gallup poll and why it's different from the pew poll, the gallup poll tracked the race over seven days heading in to the debate. barack obama was winning. we know that. heading out of the debate mitt romney closed the gap and pulled away somewhat. and then just yesterday gallup released single day tracking showing obama pulling away. that's a nice data point on monday for an obama campaign looking for good news coming out of the debate. the bottom line here, again, both...
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Oct 12, 2012
10/12
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megyn: a big development today with gallup polling. a suggestion that the president's reelection campaign may be working the refs at one of the nation's biggest polling outlets. the gallup poll had been showing competitive race in its daily tracking poll when other firms had the president first ahead. this sparked criticism from the left including from the senior adviser to the obama campaign david axlerod. now we are finding out with weeks to go before election day guam has changed its polling methods in the ways they were being pushed to do so by mr. axlerod. tucker carlson is editor of the "daily caller" and fox news contributor. they are going to include instead of 40% cell phones and 60% lands lines. they are going to go 50-50. that's what axlerod wanted. when he initially didn't get it from guam, guam said they felt threatened by axlerod. so one employee came out to you guys, to "the daily caller" and said they thought it was godfather tactics being used against them the quote was imagine axlerod coming over in brando's voice, wo
megyn: a big development today with gallup polling. a suggestion that the president's reelection campaign may be working the refs at one of the nation's biggest polling outlets. the gallup poll had been showing competitive race in its daily tracking poll when other firms had the president first ahead. this sparked criticism from the left including from the senior adviser to the obama campaign david axlerod. now we are finding out with weeks to go before election day guam has changed its polling...
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Oct 16, 2012
10/12
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MSNBCW
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so you got this new gallup poll/"usa today" poll today where it shows a one-point difference. it was a double digit when female voters were brought into the equation. you brought up ledbetter, and it will focus around the economy. i will play this sound clip from two years. let me finish, please. >> there's nothing important than what you make an hour. >> i agree. two years ago velma hart was as a cnbc town hall. she's a female african-american supporter of president obama. she'll be on the show later. let me play what she said to president obama, and if he gets a similar question this time around, how does he answer it this time in play velma hart, please. >> i'm one of your middle class americans, and quite frankly i'm exhausted. i'm exhausted defending you and your administration and defending the mantle of change i voted for and deeply disappointed with where we are right now. >> how does the president answer that tonight if it's posed to him? >> you have to deal with objective facts. if that's that person's condition, that's what it is. she has to live with the facts. the
so you got this new gallup poll/"usa today" poll today where it shows a one-point difference. it was a double digit when female voters were brought into the equation. you brought up ledbetter, and it will focus around the economy. i will play this sound clip from two years. let me finish, please. >> there's nothing important than what you make an hour. >> i agree. two years ago velma hart was as a cnbc town hall. she's a female african-american supporter of president...
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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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CURRENT
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the gallup poll shows mitt romney with a six-point lead over the president, the biggest in the campaign. those numbers don't reflect what happened in last night's debate. these do. 48% of registered voters say the president won the content compared to 33% for mitt romney. after the candidates came out and shook hands, the gloves came off and the fight began starting with jobs and the auto industry bailout. >> obama: when governor romney said that we should let we're going to bet on american workers american auto industry, and it has come surging back. >> romney: that's precisely what i recommended and what happened. >> obama: candy, what governor romney said simply isn't true. he wanted to take them into bankruptcy without providing them any way to stay open, and we would have lost a million jobs. >> eliot: the president has hammered romney on the centerpiece of his campaign, his plan to cut taxes across the board to restore the economy. >> obama: we haven't heard from the governor any specifics beyond big bird and eliminating funding for planned parenthood in terms of how he pays for t
the gallup poll shows mitt romney with a six-point lead over the president, the biggest in the campaign. those numbers don't reflect what happened in last night's debate. these do. 48% of registered voters say the president won the content compared to 33% for mitt romney. after the candidates came out and shook hands, the gloves came off and the fight began starting with jobs and the auto industry bailout. >> obama: when governor romney said that we should let we're going to bet on...
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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WJLA
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when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear the conflict is higher now than when the president took office. >> trying to seize on the president's handling of last month's attack in libya. >> i know the president hopes for a safer freer, and more prosperous middle east, allied with us. i share this hope. but hope is not a strategy. >> the candidate went to an impromptu third stop after 100 middle school kids waved at his motorcade. romney's numbers are up and they appeared to be tied. the president continued his california fund-raising swing which is expected to bring in $10 million over two days. the president attended a dedication to the cesar chavez national monument. >> our world is a better place because cesar chavez decided to change a. >> a poll out today shows romney with a four-point lead among likely voters. the gallup poll has the president of by four. b
when ever recorded by gallup. republican presidential candidate mitt romney tipperary break -- took a rare break talking about the economy and slammed the policy in the middle east. >> it is clear the conflict is higher now than when the president took office. >> trying to seize on the president's handling of last month's attack in libya. >> i know the president hopes for a safer freer, and more prosperous middle east, allied with us. i share this hope. but hope is not a...
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gallup. how are you? >> why the long face? >> get it? gallup? >> oh, lord, it's monday. >> stephanie: everybody try to remain calm. remain calm! i know. literally nbc is saying 47/47 but -- it clearly -- there's tightening in the what you call it but nate silver -- [ ♪ "world news tonight" ♪ ] battleground. nate silver who we had on last week -- >> he says nothing has changed. >> stephanie: friday, obama 291. romney 246. where is my recycle thing? okay, never mind. >> the lecral always looks more hopeful than the popular vote. >> stephanie: nate silver, he's, to me, always the best numbers guy. he's been proven the most historically correct. he says national polls published in the last 24 hours obamael plus 3.2 obama up 3 obama up 3, obama up 1. obama up .6, obama up .5. the gallup poll is what's freaking people out. >> it is a national poll. >> stephanie: that's why people think it is an outliar because is gallup heading for another big miss? national polls, all of them show a margin within two or three points. most of them, obama up. all o
gallup. how are you? >> why the long face? >> get it? gallup? >> oh, lord, it's monday. >> stephanie: everybody try to remain calm. remain calm! i know. literally nbc is saying 47/47 but -- it clearly -- there's tightening in the what you call it but nate silver -- [ ♪ "world news tonight" ♪ ] battleground. nate silver who we had on last week -- >> he says nothing has changed. >> stephanie: friday, obama 291. romney 246. where is my recycle...